Thursday, March 12, 2015

Bluegrass Poll offers insight to political races

Bluegrass Poll: Heiner leads GOP governor 
field, Conway likely nomination for Dems
Hal Heiner leads the Republican field for governor in 2015 and Attorney General Jack Conway appears to have the Democratic nomination in hand, according to the latest Bluegrass Poll.

According to a poll of 520 Republicans who said they are certain to vote in the May 19 primary, Heiner leads with 28 percent of the vote.

Louisville businessman Matt Bevin and state Agriculture Commissioner James Comer are tied for second at 20 percent of the vote, and former state Supreme Court Justice Will T. Scott has 8 percent. One-quarter of all voters remain undecided.

Meantime, Conway appears to be coasting to an easy victory in the Democratic primary. The poll of 640 Democrats who said they are certain to vote said they'd choose Conway over former state engineer Geoff Young by a margin of 61 percent to 12 percent. The other 27 percent said they aren't sure.

Looking ahead for Conway, he'll be in a struggle in the November election but he still maintains leads against all GOP candidates.

  • He leads Comer by a margin of 40-38.

  • He leads Heiner by a margin of 41-38.

  • He leads Bevin by a margin of 42-36.

  • And he leads Scott by a margin of 43-24.

Bluegrass Poll: Kentuckians remain 
unsure of a Rand Paul presidential run
For the past year, Kentuckians have been divided over whether U.S. Sen. Rand Paul should run for re-election to his Senate seat, the White House, both offices or neither office.

According to the latest Bluegrass Poll, that division remains, even as Paul nears a final decision about whether to pursue the Republican presidential nomination.

The poll found that just under a quarter of Kentucky's registered voters appear to support what many observers think is Paul's most likely course of action: running for both offices simultaneously in 2016.

According to the poll, 19 percent said he should run for president, 19 percent said he should run for his Senate seat, 23 percent said both, 30 percent said neither, and 9 percent said they were not sure.